http://worldwidedailyearthquakerisk.blogspot.com/
Copyright © 2010-2019 Ramaswami Ashok Kumar
17 February 2008
R. Ashok Kumar, B.E.,M.E(Power),Negentropist,Bombay Sarvodaya Mandal,299,Tardeo Road,nana Chowk,Mumbai-400007.
All India daily rains during the India Summer Monsoon and the Worldwide Earthquake Response has been studied and the results of the investigation reported here. During the pre-dam era no significant correlation between daily earthquake risk(Here Risk=Seismic Moment/Rain) and daily rainfall exists. During the dam era significant correlation has been found(Table 30 and Figure 30). When the mean daily rainfall in July was more than the Mean for the daily rainfall for the Monsoon season there was significant correlation and no significant correlation when it was less by more than 25 percent(in July 2002)(Tables DRDRPMQ and DRDRPMQA). These results confirm again the finding on the basis of monthly rainfall that earthquakes are being caused by Indian dams(Reference 1). The data for All-India daily monsoon rain has been derived from Reference 2. In the tables incr rain denotes that the correlation is from the begin of monsoon till the maximum daily rain and decr rain means that the correlation is from the maximum daily rain till the end of monsoon(September 30).
Correlation of Daily Peak Magnitude Earthquake(PMQ) and Number of all Earthquakes(Q) with All-India Daily Rain(R)
Significant correlation exists between the daily rains and the earthquake parameters R and PMQ and R and Q respectively. The correlations are deterministic rather than statistical as shown in Table below:
Table SCRPMQQ17(cont’d).
End of Table SCRPMQQ17.
Study of the above tables for correlation between mean rain and earthquake response shows the certainty of the response once again(Table SCC17):
Thus Table SCC17 shows that the joint probability of r(mR,mQ) and r(mR,MPMQ) for each year almost equals zero!
The daily earthquake response of the earth is biphasic to daily All-India rain. See the typical response shown in Figure 22:
And this response to daily All-India Rain is deterministic. See Figure 59:
The Risk of Worldwide daily earthquakes due to All-India daily rain a certain one: Risk= Seismic Moment/Rain. See Figure 28:
In the pre-dam era no risk of worldwide earthquakes due to All-India daily rain is seen(Figure 27):
A study of the low spin mode of the earth whereby whatever the magnitude of the rain, the peak magnitude earthquake confines itself to strong earthquakes shows that the total daily rain to a major earthquake controls the occurrence of the major to great quakes on the basis of a seven year daily monsoon, daily worldwide earthquake data, 2001 to 2007(Table TQRMG and Figure 56):
A major or great peak magnitude earthquake is certain every monsoon. See Figure 57:
How strong is the dependence of the worldwide peak magnitude earthquake on the ALL-India monsoon rain? Derived from Table TQRMG is the following correlation:[ r(Log10Mean CumRain, PMQ-7),df,p] = -0.568, df=31, p = 0.00056 as Figure 58 documents.
The controller of the peak magnitude earthquake: The Total Rain to PMQ highlights the earth’s low spin mode(Figure 60).
References.
1. R. Ashok Kumar. 2005.Earthquakes Caused by Dams in http://earthquakescausedbydams.blogspot.com/2. D.B.Stephenson et al.2007. Monsoon On Line: Daily Evolution of All-India Summer Monsoon Rainfall:Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM)Homi Bhabha RoadPune 411 008, India.
